The Lighthouse

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The Next Coalition

By Erik Zimerman On January 23, 2013 · Add Comment · In Avvisi, Joab's Men

Netanyahu risked elections in order to get a strong and stable ruling coalition that can tackle the challenges facing Israel, including Iran, Hamas, the Arab Spring, demographic forces and a dire global economic outlook. Minutes after polls closed, we reported some of the possible expectations and some unique predictions. The Lighthouse was dead-on in predicting that Yesh Atid would have more seats in the next election than the media had predicted. We also feared though were less sure about the Likud-Beiteinu coalition doing worse than predicted. Before the election, the Likud and Lieberman together controlled 42 (27 and 15 respectively) seats together. After they announced the merger, I predicted that the united front would lose seats. It definitely did with the early exit polling results indicating they now have only 31 seats between them. There are two reasons for this large drop. The first is that Lieberman outside of his independent party loses much of the appeal of his traditional Russian voter. On the other hand (though it is a smaller effect) some Likud supporters, especially Sephardi voters, may be turned off by Lieberman’s inclusion, probably to Shas’ benefit. One would assume this was obvious to both leaders who chose this path in any event. The second major factor for [...]

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2013 Israeli Legislative Elections Voter Guide – Chart the Parliamentary Maze

By Erik Zimerman On January 17, 2013 · 1 Comment · In Joab's Men

The Lighthouse is happy to bring you the Jan 22 Israeli Knesset Elections Voter Guide Unlike in the US, Israel as a parliamentary system offers voters a myriad of parties. The chart below will help any unsure voter. It may also surprise the experienced voter, as he may not end up where he expects. Though done in good humor, it is a very important issue as a majority of Israeli voters vote for parties that do not really reflect their core values, but rather because they think themselves part of the matching “sector” of society. The chart follows a logical order of core beliefs in order of importance. Click on the chart to ZOOM IN. Below the chart, there is more in-depth commentary on each party. Background to the Election Only a few days away from the January 22 legislative elections in Israel. Being a country (unfortunately), with parliamentary supremacy, these elections are extremely important. What would in the US would be the executive, legislative and judicial branches of government are in Israel all rolled into one. And unlike other parliamentary systems, there are not two houses of congress or the legislature, but only one, known as the [...]

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All is Not Lost (on the 2009 Israeli election results and coalition)

By Erik Zimerman On February 10, 2009 · Add Comment · In Against the Wind, Joab's Men

If Bibi (Netanyahu) and Lieberman are able to put egos, aside, consider country first, this should work out ok. With National Union coming on board, and Bibi and Lieberman together, they should be able to make the coalition, of course it will come down as usual to the corrupt and buyable Shas who will join anyone for the right price.. It is important that the right not break ranks and join Livni because their differences are small compared to the positions of the left which is to surrender Israel to the enemy humiliate ourselves before the world. The Left will make accusations that the people’s will is Kadima, being the largest party. They should be answered that their small margin making them the largest party was made up of Arab votes, hardly “the peoples” will as they are the very enemy of the state. Unfortunately our enemies, from Syria to Hamas, do not give Jews the vote. Beyond this, the right wing vote here is clearly the largest and it was simply broken into two parties. So if a majority voted right, and some even more right, what would be against the people’s will is then to the left to [...]

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The Next Coalition

2013 Israeli Legislative Elections Voter Guide – Chart the Parliamentary Maze

All is Not Lost (on the 2009 Israeli election results and coalition)

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