The Lighthouse

Short Update on Iran’s Threat today

By Erik Zimerman On December 28, 2011 · Add Comment · In Against the Wind

Iran is threatening to cut off the Strait of Hormuz to all oil exports (basically everyone’s oil, Saudi, Qatar, Kuwait, Iraq etc) must pass through there. Nice… If they do that, their fate is sealed, not even Obama may be able to save them. (It speaks volumes of their strategy that to date has worked, if they talk big enough, the world trembles. Qaddafi’s pleads of “why are you randomly bombing us, we are friends” fell on completely unafraid deaf ears) But since they are unlikely to do that, we have a likely scenario of oil soaring short term (already did so on tension and the announcements passed $100 a barrel), and then coming back down after it blows over. Time to short? In event of an actual strike on Iran, be it from them cutting off Hormuz or an unrelated strike by Israel and/or the US on their nukes, oil will soar even higher for the duration of the conflict, and then once again drop down. The oil price equation is in this case not only very interesting for would be investors, but the entire geopolitical situation. As the world economy still hangs by thin [...]

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Garzon messed with Pinochet, now he is down and out

By Erik Zimerman On May 14, 2010 · Add Comment · In Avvisi, The Whiskey Room

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Response to a friends’ accurate portrait of the media’s uneven love of the underdog and anti Israel bias…

By Erik Zimerman On January 8, 2009 · Add Comment · In Against the Wind, Joab's Men

Nicely done oms… but like everything else.. its got to do more with incentives. the thugs in Congo couldn’t care less what cnn says and cnn doesn’t care much for what they do due to the commonality of it and ratings. Israel does… world opinion constantly moves Israel. it doesn’t move hamas. The terrorists bomb because it achieves results… and ppl whine cause it achieves results as well. They are afraid of their own muslim populations. They love the arabs no more than the leftist Israeli who agrees with the leftist European loves the arab. They just both fear. The oil, the population, the bombs, the influence. Did the bombings in Spain cause the spaniards to love Al Qeida, Iraq and the arabs? No but they withdrew fast and reversed an election. Imagine if Bush had invaded Iraq years ago and it had gone excellently, and it had brought years of stability. People would be looking back and saying that in hindsight it was very good and removed an evil dictator (and they may yet). Instead as it went badly, even the overwhelming majority of support of Americans reversed itself. Look at the awe Israel got after the six day [...]

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Short Update on Iran’s Threat today

Garzon messed with Pinochet, now he is down and out

Response to a friends’ accurate portrait of the media’s uneven love of the underdog and anti Israel bias…

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Short Update on Iran’s Threat today

Garzon messed with Pinochet, now he is down and out

Response to a friends’ accurate portrait of the media’s uneven love of the underdog and anti Israel bias…

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