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Brief followup during Election 2019

By Erik Zimerman On April 9, 2019 · Add Comment · In Against the Wind, Avvisi, Joab's Men

Of course, my full shpiel on the election is here. But a couple of points in brief for those on the right who are afraid to not vote Likud, or not vote Moshe Feiglin for coalition politics reasons. First, for those on the right, the choice between the United Right, and Zehut. Normally, we vote for the United Right, but I have to say this time it ought to be different. The United Right is now composed of two sets of people broadly… as it is a union of Bennett’s old party (basically the old NRP, Mafdal), and the Tekuma and Otzma people. The former are people that are excellent decent people, but are quite mainstream in their politics (meaning not quite right wing). Certainly in favor of the business as usual socialism and very Likudnik in their position on land (say you want to give it away but try not to). These are not folks we would usually vote for when thinking of the free market conservative right wing. The second wing of the list, is made up of more truly right wing characters. If that list was headed by the likes of Aryeh Eldad, Benny Elon and Rehavaam [...]

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The Next Coalition

By Erik Zimerman On January 23, 2013 · Add Comment · In Avvisi, Joab's Men

Netanyahu risked elections in order to get a strong and stable ruling coalition that can tackle the challenges facing Israel, including Iran, Hamas, the Arab Spring, demographic forces and a dire global economic outlook. Minutes after polls closed, we reported some of the possible expectations and some unique predictions. The Lighthouse was dead-on in predicting that Yesh Atid would have more seats in the next election than the media had predicted. We also feared though were less sure about the Likud-Beiteinu coalition doing worse than predicted. Before the election, the Likud and Lieberman together controlled 42 (27 and 15 respectively) seats together. After they announced the merger, I predicted that the united front would lose seats. It definitely did with the early exit polling results indicating they now have only 31 seats between them. There are two reasons for this large drop. The first is that Lieberman outside of his independent party loses much of the appeal of his traditional Russian voter. On the other hand (though it is a smaller effect) some Likud supporters, especially Sephardi voters, may be turned off by Lieberman’s inclusion, probably to Shas’ benefit. One would assume this was obvious to both leaders who chose this path in any event. The second major factor for [...]

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2013 Israeli Legislative Elections Voter Guide – Chart the Parliamentary Maze

By Erik Zimerman On January 17, 2013 · 1 Comment · In Joab's Men

The Lighthouse is happy to bring you the Jan 22 Israeli Knesset Elections Voter Guide Unlike in the US, Israel as a parliamentary system offers voters a myriad of parties. The chart below will help any unsure voter. It may also surprise the experienced voter, as he may not end up where he expects. Though done in good humor, it is a very important issue as a majority of Israeli voters vote for parties that do not really reflect their core values, but rather because they think themselves part of the matching “sector” of society. The chart follows a logical order of core beliefs in order of importance. Click on the chart to ZOOM IN. Below the chart, there is more in-depth commentary on each party. Background to the Election Only a few days away from the January 22 legislative elections in Israel. Being a country (unfortunately), with parliamentary supremacy, these elections are extremely important. What would in the US would be the executive, legislative and judicial branches of government are in Israel all rolled into one. And unlike other parliamentary systems, there are not two houses of congress or the legislature, but only one, known as the [...]

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As Expected, the hopeless Mofaz takes Kadima out of the Government over The Tal Law Issue

By Erik Zimerman On July 18, 2012 · 2 Comments · In Avvisi, Joab's Men

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Brief followup during Election 2019

The Next Coalition

2013 Israeli Legislative Elections Voter Guide – Chart the Parliamentary Maze

As Expected, the hopeless Mofaz takes Kadima out of the Government over The Tal Law Issue

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